Post by ajbuckeye on Nov 14, 2016 13:53:01 GMT
2,3 and 4 all take a dive. Committee could have it work cut out for them this time around as Ohio State and Louisville could be 2 and 3 and not have a chance to win the conference. Who gets in if Clemson and Washington wins out then Wisconsin beats Penn St. Clemson is in for sure but the remaining 2 spots are a crap shoot and it probably goes down to who looks the best down the stretch. What are the chances of the number 2 and 3 teams each dropping 3 spot without losing a game. Conference champs are a premium with the committee but still a lot of football to be played.
SEC
Bama is number 1. They could still drop a game and easily remain in the top 4. Only scenario where they are out is losing the CCG in a bad loss. That is not happening.
Florida still controls its destiny but they have about a 1% chance of winning there next 3 games.
BIG
Is a cluster with 5 teams with 2 or less losses and 4 will likely be in the top 8 of the CFP. Michigan is the only team that truly controls its own destiny to the CFP. Wisconsin and PSU need a Buckeye loss and then they control there destiny. Buckeyes have a very strong case if they win out but it could come down to the Buckeyes vs the B10 Champs for a spot in the CFB.
ACC
Clemson just needs to win and they are in. At this point though there is no guarantee which Clemson team will come out on any given day.
Louisville clearly benefited the most from this weekend but without a CCG appearance they may be still on the outside especially since they are behind tOSU in the CFP.
P12
Washington severely hurt the P12 in terms of getting a team in the CFP. They resume includes the number 128 best OOC schedule. Even with 1 loss and a P12 title they could still be left on the outside.
Washington St is still undefeated in conference play but a loss to EWU is pretty much an eliminator.
Colorado, USC, and Utah is about as messy as the Big 10 East with Colorado still having a game vs Utah.
B12
With all of the shakedown that happen this weekend, the B12 is still pretty much on the outside. Oklahoma who probably looks the best has to go to WVU this weekend. If wins there final 3 games which would include win of Oklahoma and Baylor, they could potentially sneak it but it will take at least one 3 loss conference champ for that to happen.
Western Michigan is a team that most P5's would not want to play. Too bad they did not have one or 2 top 25 teams on the schedule to see how they stack up.
No Loss P5 1
Alabama
1 Loss P5 2
Louisville, Ohio State, West Virginia, Washington, Clemson,Michigan
0 Loss G5 1
Western Michigan
This is my prediction based on how the season will turn out.
tOSU wins out
Wiscy wins out beating PSU in the B1G CCG
Louisvlle wins out
both Clemson and Washington drop another game.
CFP Predictor
1 BAMA
2 Ohio State
3 Louisville
4 Wisconsin
SEC
Bama is number 1. They could still drop a game and easily remain in the top 4. Only scenario where they are out is losing the CCG in a bad loss. That is not happening.
Florida still controls its destiny but they have about a 1% chance of winning there next 3 games.
BIG
Is a cluster with 5 teams with 2 or less losses and 4 will likely be in the top 8 of the CFP. Michigan is the only team that truly controls its own destiny to the CFP. Wisconsin and PSU need a Buckeye loss and then they control there destiny. Buckeyes have a very strong case if they win out but it could come down to the Buckeyes vs the B10 Champs for a spot in the CFB.
ACC
Clemson just needs to win and they are in. At this point though there is no guarantee which Clemson team will come out on any given day.
Louisville clearly benefited the most from this weekend but without a CCG appearance they may be still on the outside especially since they are behind tOSU in the CFP.
P12
Washington severely hurt the P12 in terms of getting a team in the CFP. They resume includes the number 128 best OOC schedule. Even with 1 loss and a P12 title they could still be left on the outside.
Washington St is still undefeated in conference play but a loss to EWU is pretty much an eliminator.
Colorado, USC, and Utah is about as messy as the Big 10 East with Colorado still having a game vs Utah.
B12
With all of the shakedown that happen this weekend, the B12 is still pretty much on the outside. Oklahoma who probably looks the best has to go to WVU this weekend. If wins there final 3 games which would include win of Oklahoma and Baylor, they could potentially sneak it but it will take at least one 3 loss conference champ for that to happen.
Western Michigan is a team that most P5's would not want to play. Too bad they did not have one or 2 top 25 teams on the schedule to see how they stack up.
No Loss P5 1
Alabama
1 Loss P5 2
Louisville, Ohio State, West Virginia, Washington, Clemson,Michigan
0 Loss G5 1
Western Michigan
This is my prediction based on how the season will turn out.
tOSU wins out
Wiscy wins out beating PSU in the B1G CCG
Louisvlle wins out
both Clemson and Washington drop another game.
CFP Predictor
1 BAMA
2 Ohio State
3 Louisville
4 Wisconsin