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Post by jameshowell on Aug 8, 2020 15:51:47 GMT
Speculation on canceling the season. If so, Pac 12 follows pretty quickly and then the dominoes start to fall.
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Post by jameshowell on Aug 8, 2020 16:19:04 GMT
So far, just a delay in moving to pads.
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Post by Bevo on Aug 8, 2020 18:07:50 GMT
Numbers of cases nationwide are falling pretty quickly. But, they’re not all where they need to be yet, and we’re running out of time.
No guarantee that the rapid drop continues either.
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Post by jameshowell on Aug 8, 2020 20:02:27 GMT
The number of cases is misleading. It is the number of positive tests; many of those people were infected weeks or months ago. And, they won't fall to where they need to be until we lift the ridiculous lock downs and get to community immunity. The lock downs were only supposed to be a temporary measure to keep hospitals from being overwhelmed. Remember, lock downs, masks, and social distancing do not in any way reduce the number of cases or deaths. The only flatten the curve. For non-mathematicians, a flattening of the curve reduces the height of the curve but elongates the base. The area under the curve remains the same. If we had not had all of these measures, we would be 80-90% through this thing already.
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Post by Bevo on Aug 8, 2020 21:36:55 GMT
Careful. You’ll be accused of being “ anti-science”.
I track ‘Daily New Cases”. And several other factors, like positivity rates and daily deaths. Slowly, but surely... they’re pretty much all coming down. We could be in a much better place in a month. If we don’t have another wide spread round of peaceful protesting.
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Post by jameshowell on Aug 8, 2020 22:32:13 GMT
At this point, its more about statistics than science. And even with deaths over reported and cases under reported, in Texas and Florida the recovery rate (using the published numbers) is around 98.5%. Nationwide and worldwide it is around 96.5%. Those are somewhat skewed downward by idiotic governors in NY and MI putting the contagious in nursing homes with the most vulnerable.
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