How I see things playing out

Georgia wins out, they are in ==> #1

Cincinnati loses to SMU and they are out >>> down the rankings

Alabama probably wins out (Auburn and Arkansas might challenge), but loses to Georgia.  They are out

Ohio State drops a game somewhere.  Schedule too tough...butttt could they still win the Big 10? IF SO, could they slip in as a 2-loss Big 10 Championship if enough teams lose?? Think 2007

Michigan-Michigan State winner has an inside track but has got to beat Ohio State...still not sure about TTsUN (Those Teams Up North)

Oklahoma will lose to someone...they play Oklahoma State, Baylor, and Iowa State in their remaining games.  Could they lose twice?  I have a hard time seeing Oklahoma in the playoff

Oregon's chances of winning out look better and better every week.  The teams on their schedule have awful records.  I think the Ducks can do it. ==>#2

Notre Dame wins out and make the playoff  ==>#3

So who is #4???  If the Big XII can eat itself and produce a 2 loss champ, I think Ohio State could get in EVEN WITH ANOTHER LOSS.  You also have Ole Miss quietly hanging out there with 1 loss.  If they get past Auburn this week, and Alabama ends up winning the West but losing in the SEC Championship, its not impossible to see them at the #4 spot.  Gotta beat Auburn and Texas A&M though, and hope Alabama doesn't drop another conference game.

For now, I will put Ohio State (even with another loss) in the #4 spot until things get clearer

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Anyways, that's how I read the tea leaves this far