My annual Academy Award nomination predictions....

doc
God

Posts: 3,960

My annual Academy Award nomination predictions.... Feb 8, 2022 13:00:37 GMT

Quote

Post by doc on Feb 8, 2022 13:00:37 GMT

The nominations will be announced in about 45 minutes - here are my predictions for the top awards....

Animated Feature

Luca
En Canto
Raya and the Last Dragon
Flee
The Mitchells vs the Machines

I've seen them all but Flee - my 2 favorites were Luca and The Mitchells

Supporting Actress
Kirsten Dunst - Power of the Dog
Caitriona Balfe - Belfast
Ariana DeBose - West Side Story
Ruth Negga - Passing
Aunjanue Ellis - King Richard

I'd like to see Marlee Matlin from CODA or Judy Dench from Belfast get a nomination but I think they'll be on the outside looking in.

Supporting Actor

Ciaran Hinds - Belfast
Troy Kotsur - CODA
Kodi Smit-McPhee - Power of the Dog
Ben Affleck - The Tender Bar
Jared Leto - The House of Gucci

I'd prefer to see Jesse Plemons from Power of the Dog or Mike Faist from West Side Story get a nomination - JK Simmos is also a wildcard for Being the Ricardos. Bradley Cooper is also a possibility but I thought his Licorice Pizza performance was a little over the top.

Best Actress

Olivia Colman - The Lost Daughter
Nicole Kidman - Being the Ricardos
Kristen Stewart - Spencer
Lady Gaga - The House of Gucci
Jennifer Hudson - Respect

I'd really like to see Emelia Jones from CODA get a nomination - her audition scene was the best scene from a movie in 2021, made me cry! Rachel Zegler from West Side Story is dark horse - I won't be disappointed if Lady Gaga doesn't get a nomination.

Best Actor

Andrew Garfield - Tick, Tick....Boom!
Benedict Cumberbatch - The Power of the Dog
Will Smith - King Richard
Denzel Washington - The Tragedy of MacBeth
Mahershala Ali - Swan Song

A tough category with Peter Dinklage of Cyrano as a dark horse candidate

Best Director

Jane Campion - Power of the Dog
Denis Villeneuva - Dune
Ryuskie Hamaguchi - Drive My Car
Paul Thomas Anderson - Licorice Pizza
Kenneth Branagh - Belfast

Stephen Spielberg (West Side Story) is always threat and Maggie Gyllenhaal of The Lost Daughter could sneak in for her directorial debut.

Best Picture

Belfast
CODA
Drive My Car
Dune
King Richard
Licorice Pizza
Power of the Dog
Tick, Tick...Boom!
West Side Story

The Tragedy of Macbeth and Don't Look Up could sneak in. I've seen all but Drive My Car and Dune - I'd vote for Belfast or CODA at this point.

The announcement is in 18 minutes, there are always a few 'out of left field' surprises - we'll see how I do!

Bevo
God

Using my mind... It's the Little Things that count.

Posts: 11,060

My annual Academy Award nomination predictions.... Feb 8, 2022 16:03:45 GMT

Quote

Post by Bevo on Feb 8, 2022 16:03:45 GMT

Wow... I wonder, if we are really seeing the END of movie theaters? The ex-CEO of Disney predicted this a week or so ago.

My wife and I have ALWAYS been huge movie fans. Nearly every year, when the nominations were made, we'd seen all but 1, maybe 2 of the top films.

This year? I've seen only 2. Dune, and King Richard. And, I streamed DUNE at home. It was a high quality film. King Richard was good. But, no where close to being a "Best Picture" in my book. If it wins, it would be a testament to HOW BAD movies are these days.

We saw Respect at the theater. Being the Ricardos at home. But, that's ALL we've seen. From all of the movies you listed.

Have to say, the few times we did go to the theater (which, is a fantastic Cineplex about 3 miles from our house), there were never more than 2-3 other people in attendance. Of course, we usually go early on Friday afternoon. So, there's that. But, in the past, it was no uncommon for 20-30 people to be there.

doc
God

Posts: 3,960

My annual Academy Award nomination predictions.... Feb 8, 2022 17:07:04 GMT

Quote

Post by doc on Feb 8, 2022 17:07:04 GMT

There were 10 movies nominated for Best Picture - I've seen 7 of them but only 2 in the theater; Belfast and West Side Story - the movie experience is so much better on the big screen. I still need to see Dune, Drive My Car (which is a 3 hour, Japanese film) and Nightmare Alley. I know you can get Dune and Nightmare Alley on one of the streaming services.

CODA was very good, it's on Apple TV. I totally enjoyed Belfast. Power of the Dog was very good and the cinematography was outstanding, beautifully filmed. I feel the same way about King Richard - good but not close to Best Picture quality although Will Smith will probably get Best Actor - I guess it's his turn. Javier Bardem stole a nomination from someone - I thought he was subpar in Being the Ricardos. Was glad to see Gaga didn't get nominated and pleasantly surprised that Judi Dench and Jesse Plemons were nominated.Of the 39 nominations I predicted, I got 33 correct - not bad!

Nationalchamps

My annual Academy Award nomination predictions....

Post by doc on Feb 8, 2022 13:00:37 GMT

Post by Bevo on Feb 8, 2022 16:03:45 GMT

Post by doc on Feb 8, 2022 17:07:04 GMT

Quick Reply