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Post by ajbuckeye on Oct 31, 2017 2:43:29 GMT
Good Bye NC State, Mich St, USF, and Wash St
Win out and your In
Georgia SEC 8-0
Alabama SEC 8-0
Wisconsin B10 8-0
Miami FL ACC 7-0
Win out and you are 99% in
Notre Dame FBSI 7-1
Ohio St B10 7-1
Clemson ACC 7-1
Oklahoma B12 7-1
On the outside looking in
Penn St B10 7-1
UCF AAC 7-0
TCU B12 7-1
Oklahoma St B12 7-1
Washington P12 7-1
Virginia Tech ACC 7-1
2 Loss teams are not out of the question but will need some canabalism with some conferences
If all games go as projected
Alabama 13 - 0
Clemson 12 - 1
Oklahoma 12 - 1
Ohio St 12 - 1
ND 11 - 1
UGA 11 - 1
If this happens I think ND is the odd team out because all teams are comparable and ND does not have a CCG
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Post by EvilVodka on Oct 31, 2017 14:03:47 GMT
I think Georgia and Alabama are on a collision course, and the winner will get the #1 seed. I think the loser in the SEC Championship game is out
If Notre Dame wins out, they'll beat Miami in the process and eventually move up to #2
If Oklahoma wins out, I think they will move ahead of Ohio State and secure themselves as #3
If Ohio State wins out, I think they're in, but they'll move below Oklahoma in order due to Head-to-head
Where does that leave Clemson? They need one of the four above to lose IMO. How does Clemson fare with Oklahoma or Notre Dame? Clemson has the worst loss of the group, and doesn't really have a marquee win. Oklahoma has the win over Ohio State that will carry them in, and could end up getting revenge over their only loss against Iowa State.
After that, you have Penn State...they clearly need some losses to get in. They look really good this year though and will get props from the committee.
Then you have........Wisconsin and Miami. Two teams that can play their way into the championship, but really are not favored to make it. Miami has a long hard road...starting with Virginia Tech this week. Then Notre Dame the following week. Then Clemson most likely waiting for them in the ACC Championship.
I think that pretty much sums up the playoff picture...there are definitely other scenarios, but I don't think it's very likely. The PAC 12 is most likely toast.
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Post by ajbuckeye on Nov 1, 2017 3:12:18 GMT
Sounds pretty reasonable although I think that ND, Oklahoma, ND, and Ohio State will all be fairly comparable. Here is what I would expect each team will have on the resumes at the end of the day.
ND will have wins vs 2 to 3 loss Miami, 3+ loss Stanford, 3+ loss NC State and USC
Oklahoma will have Wins of 3 loss TCU assuming they make it to the CCG, 3 loss OSU and a loss to 3 loss Iowa St
Ohio State will have wins vs 1 loss Wiscy and 1 loss PSU and loss vs 1 loss Oklahoma and likely a 3 loss Michigan
Clemson will have wins over 3 or 4 loss Auburn, 2 loss VT and 3 loss Miami and clearly the worst loss of the bunch
There resumes would not be very distinguishable and since ND does not play the CCG I think they are on the outside looking in.
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Post by rupturedduck on Nov 1, 2017 12:06:05 GMT
I don't see TOSU making the final 4,Bama 2 many teams ahead of them Bama,Georgia,Clemson (only lousy FSU in the way)Notre Dame ( but tough games with Miami and Stanford)
Oklahoma ( beat OSU,but got Okie St abd TCU left at Norman)
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Post by bluehen on Nov 1, 2017 13:41:18 GMT
I don't see TOSU making the final 4,Bama 2 many teams ahead of them Bama,Georgia,Clemson (only lousy FSU in the way)Notre Dame ( but tough games with Miami and Stanford) Oklahoma ( beat OSU,but got Okie St abd TCU left at Norman) You obviously weren't tuned in just a couple of years back- 2014 |
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Post by doc on Nov 1, 2017 15:55:28 GMT
I don't see TOSU making the final 4,Bama 2 many teams ahead of them Bama,Georgia,Clemson (only lousy FSU in the way)Notre Dame ( but tough games with Miami and Stanford) Oklahoma ( beat OSU,but got Okie St abd TCU left at Norman) Ohio State was #16 in the first playoff poll in 2014 and #6 last year. There's a lot of football left to play and if they win out, I think they'll be fine. |
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